Michael Phelps has been slowly moving toward the 200 butterfly most of the Pro Swim season. Coach Bob Bowman has slowly been inching MP toward more and more 200 fly training in practice.
At the Charlotte Pro Swim, MP said 200 fly was a relatively slow event compared to world-ranked 200 flys since the year 2000.
At the Santa Clara Pro Swim, MP said he wanted to (needed to) get his 200 fly home in under a minute.
I am 99% sure Michael Phelps is swimming 200 fly at U.S. Nationals in San Antonio. I believe, and I feel MP has communicated, that 200 fly training is essential to his preparation for the 2016 U.S. Olympic Swimming Trials and the 2016 Olympic Games in Rio. Whether it’s preparation for the 100 fly at the U.S. Olympic Trials or preparation to swim both the 100 and 200 fly remains unclear. At this point, however, I strongly believe MP is swimming 200 fly at Nationals.
Michael Phelps 200 Butterfly U.S. National Championships prediction:
Michael’s out fast, touching the 100m wall in 53.9.
Michael meets his goal of getting home under 1:00, getting home in 59.7.
Michael swims a 1:53.6, a very solid swim one year out from the 2016 Olympic Games.
What’s your Michael Phelps 200 Butterfly US Nationals prediction?
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This is a Gold Medal Media production presented by SwimOutlet.com. Host Gold Medal Mel Stewart is a 3-time Olympic medalist and the co-founder of SwimSwam.com, a Swimming News website.
Mel…unbelievable accuracy on the 1 fly and 2 IM. Thought you were overestimating his 200 fly, but it turns out you UNDERestimated, like everyone else seemed to have. Crazy.
Thanks KD…. I love being wrong when Phelps goes faster.
The feedback we were getting from the Phelps camp was positive, but by no means were they saying he’d go 1:53.
I had a chance to speak with Bob for a bit at Nats and he indicted 1:54 in 2-fly would’ve been on track. I think we all agree (all commenters) on that point. 1:54 is a great swim, perfect a year out from O Trials.
Based on Phelps 2-fly history, I strongly felt he could get out in 53 with easy speed. Knowing how much 2-fly base-work he had done this season, it was a safe bet he could get home 59.5-59.9. I thought he might… Read more »
100m fly 50.86
200 fly 1 54.8
200 im 155.8
Pretty sure Phelps would want to show some momentum heading into the 2016. So it would be a good way by doing 3 events and going fast in them. My predictions
200IM- 1.55.7 (Perfect time in a Lochte less field)
100fly- 50.8 (Will show the Phelps we know from the turn)
200 fly- 1.54.2 (Too early for a sub 1.54)
hhahhhhahhahhahahaha wow too early for sub 154… how about sub 153
Yikes, people attempting to throw in Trials predictions already? I’d love to join in on the fun, but I’ll save it for a year from now.
Topic at hand, Phelps could easily find himself shining in a 1:53.9 or a modest 1:54.5 in 2fly nationals. It’s his first real test run at a tapered 2fly in years so anything could happen. 50.8-51.2 1fly depending on whatever circumstances you want to throw in there. Been much more consistent in non-Olympic year 100 fly though.
Day 2 – Friday, August 7
Will be a challenging day for Phelps.
My guess is phelps doubles the
2 FR & the
2 FL, in prelims, then scratches the 2 Free in the finals. We’ll find out.
Day 2 – Friday, August 7
Order of events:
W 100 Backstroke
M 200 Freestyle
M 100 Backstroke
W 200 Freestyle
M 200 Butterfly
W 4 x 100 Free Relay
http://www.usaswimming.org/_Rainbow/Documents/3b2e84c4-e66d-46a0-bad9-212b62fb54c8/2015%20LC%20Nationals%20Meet%20Info%206-9-15.pdf
I think Adrian will go near his all time best relay split of 46.69 by Rio. Just too much speed. Also 21.30/47.28 for the 50 and 100. Might be a bit bold at this point but who knows
I predict Phelps would go 54.4 in the first 100 and 59.8 in the second 100, coming home with a 1:54.2. I think he would go out fast in the first and second 50 and kind of ride high on the water in the third 50 and then finish hard in the last 50. He would start out with a 24.9 and finish the second 50 with a 29.3, third 50: 31.1(although I wish he would go 29 or 30), I think he would try his best to kill himself in the last 50 with a 28.7(but I also wish he could go 28.0 or under the 28 mark.)
I wish Mel’s prediction is true because I would love… Read more »
It’s actually a reference to a characters nickname in a TV show and not on account of my massive ego (it’s hard even for me to believe).