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London Roar’s Last-Minute Lineup Changes Render Mixed Results

2020 INTERNATIONAL SWIMMING LEAGUE – FINAL

If you were able to scan our post regarding start lists for today, day 1 of the International Swimming League (ISL) final, then you know there were some notable 11th-hour changes between what was planned and what actually happened with some London Roar swims.

A shuffling of events primarily among Guilherme Guido, Duncan Scott and Kira Toussaint left some wondering if these last-minute changes were a result of strategic energy-saving tactics or simply an attempt to psych out the competition by keeping them in the dark and unable to react in time.

Whatever the reason, on the whole, the changes didn’t appear to render the desired results, as Roar currently sits 3rd among the 4 teams, holding just a 22.5-point advantage over last place LA Current. Having lost both medley relays, getting skins selection is now out-of-play, which puts the squad at the mercy of what CAC and ENS decide.

With that in mind, let’s break down the start-list-to-swim alterations and their subsequent impact for London Roar.

Change #1 – No Kira Toussaint in the Women’s 50m Back

Despite appearing on the start lists in the 50m back, Dutch national record holder and newly-minted World Record holder in the event, Kira Toussaint, was nowhere to be found when the starting gun went off. With Roar trailing both ENS and CAC, the thought was that Toussaint was being saved for an all-in swim come the medley relay after already having swum the 200m back earlier in the session.

Instead, London Roar went with Kathleen Dawson to join Mariia Kameneva for the 50m back, with the pair finishing in 8th and 7th place, respectively. Together they reaped 3.0 points, which is a far cry from the 10 points Toussaint collected last week alone with her semifinal win, while Kameneva earned 4 points in that same race for 14 total.

Adding salt to the wound today is the fact that Toussaint wasn’t the fastest opening leg on the medley relay. Although she hit a solid leadoff of 56.16, she was smoked by Cali Condors’ Olivia Smoliga, who fired off a monster 55.60 to set the stage for an ultimate CAC victory in the event. With that win, CAC gets to deal a potentially fatal competitive blow of selecting the skins discipline for tomorrow.

Change #2 – Guilherme Guido Makes 50m Back Appearance

In nearly the opposite of what happened with Toussaint, Guilherme Guido wound up lining up behind the blocks for the 50m back when his name was missing from the start lists. According to what was provided prior to the meet start, London Roar had entered Luke Greenbank and Christian Diener.

Surprise! Guido hopped in to put his feet on the ledge for the 50m back after all. However, the Brazilian’s usual finesse fell short, with the Roar member producing just a time of 23.02 to tie ENS’ Evgeny Rylov for 3rd place. Guido snagged 5.5 points in the process, which is off his massive 12 points from semifinal #1 or even his 7 points from the match prior to that.

Diener remained as Guido’s partner in crime, with the German hitting 23.35 for 4 points in the race.

Come to the medley relay, Guido produced a backstroke lead-off leg of 49.59, which represented the 3rd fastest split of the field. For perspective, Guido was 50.19 when Roar won this men’s medley event in match #8, 49.50 in match #5, and 50.25 in match #2.

Change #3 – Dunks Trades 200m IM for 50m Free

Versatile Duncan Scott can essentially swim anything, but in an ISL final where jackpots are a looming game-changing threat, London Roar needed to buckle down and use their Scottish star wisely.

In this vein, although he was originally listed as the 50m freestyle participant for Roar along with Mikhail Vekovishchev, Scott was a no-show for the splash n’ dash. Instead, it was 200m backstroke point-earner Greenbank who tried to hang with the thoroughbred racers in the 50m free.

Both Vekovishchev and Greenbank fell to the bottom of the pack with the former placing 6th, earning zero points, while Greenbank placed 8th and was jacked for his far-behind 22.58 lane-filler swim.

For comparison, semifinal-only swimmer Katsumi Nakamura snagged 5 points for Roar last week while Vekovishchev reaped 4 points, so the Roar’s -1 result here was well behind the 9 from the SF.

Taking on the 200m IM as his only individual event on the day, then, Scott replaced start-listed Vini Lanza in the actual race. Scott wound up placing 3rd in a time of 1:51.96, just off his big-time British record-setting swim of 1:51.66 from last week. Even that kind of performance wouldn’t have put a stop to what LAC’s Andrew Seliskar was throwing down tonight, with the former Cal Bear crashing the party with a 1:51.53 ISL-leading effort.

Scott’s teammate Andreas Vazaios was next in line, getting the runner-up slot with 7 points to add to Scott’s 6 to render Roar with 13 in total.

Going back to Scott’s 50m free disappearance, the 23-year-old has shown us time and time again he can handle a multi-event, rapid-fire lineup, a la his famous BUCS double-digit racing routines. Plus, the man has a lifetime best of 21.25 in the 50m free. However, even if he was at that PB today in Budapest, he would have brought home zero points against the biggest guns the ISL has to offer in this event, so, in this case against the likes of Manaudou and Dressel, leaving him out made sense.

Even after the analysis, the question for fans and competing teams is how these last-minute London Roar changeups are perceived – as strategic gameplay or teetering toward crossing the good sportsmanship line.

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AvidSwimFan
3 years ago

Apart from Toussaint not swimming the 50 back, all the choices LON made seemed the best for them based on the options they had. I don’t think they were trying to play any head games. Scott is better in the 200IM than the 50 free. Guido might delivered more points in other 50 back races but this was a tighter field. LON might just have peaked for Semis.

CSWIM
3 years ago

As I commented after the semi’s, looking at all the potential outcomes (they are likely go through R1 of skins in any stroke but are pretty unlikely to make R3 in any excluding, rather ironically, Breaststroke), the ladies 4x100m Medley is not hugely valuable for LR. Even with the double relay points Toussaint on 50 back and maybe even Anderson on 400 free is a better strategy.

However. LR were ultimately undone on day 1 by being on the wrong side of 0.1 – 0.15 finishes in too many races – especially those where good Jackpots were available.

Chris
Reply to  CSWIM
3 years ago

I think women’s skins looks massively different for Roar with it being back or breast than it does fly or free. Prior to yesterday, ENS were probably favourites to win the women’s medley relay and pick a stroke where London would be unlikely to progress to R2. Only once you go to Cali being favourites and knowing how incredible the first three legs would be does the position shift

Agree that London has been the wrong side on several tight finishes. Without the Australian contingent they needed everything to fall “right” to be competitive for the win….. and even then I suspect that wouldn’t be enough given the amount of jackpot points Dressel is hoovering up.

Coach Winner
3 years ago

I give Mel Marshall and the London Roar staff TREMENDOUS CREDIT for making such quick last-minute changes. And lots of credit goes to the swimmers on LR for following their instructions. It was planned very well, but unfortunately they cannot predict those amazing swims done by ENS, CAC and LAC. On paper, LR made risky (but potentially rewarding) decisions, but just fell short.. but not at all their faults 👍.

The mind game behind the sport makes this ISL format that much more exciting to watch and to analyze!

Tea rex
3 years ago

Toussaint in the in the 200 but not the 50 only makes sense if she wants to get a tapered time in the 200 and the team doesn’t care about points. Even then, baffling not to at least swim a 50m event you just broke the world record.

The others were maybe a star list error (Guido) or seeing how hot Dressel was, accepting the jackpot

Troyy
Reply to  Tea rex
3 years ago

It’s the same tactics Energy have used with Kolesnikov throughout season and it’s worked for them but Toussaint was unable to deliver a big time in the relay to make it worthwhile. Guido was likely the same tactical idea but they changed their mind.

Last edited 3 years ago by Troyy
Chris
3 years ago

I get Roar’s thinking and think it made sense.

Initial plan to try and protect swimmers for the Men’s Medley Relay but it became apparent during the session that Energy were just too strong as their swimmers improved on last week as London plateaued.

Accepting you’re not likely to win the men’s medley relay then means:
– No need to “rest” Scott by stopping him doing the IM instead of the 50 free where every expectation was that he’d be jackpotted
– Not resting Guido

In hindsight to rest Toussaint looks more questionable. Her improved performance compared to last week allowed them to beat Energy in the women’s medley relay which is critical in terms of preventing… Read more »

Last edited 3 years ago by Chris
Troyy
Reply to  Chris
3 years ago

Roar would’ve chosen back not breast for skins.

Chris
Reply to  Troyy
3 years ago

Agree – but I think if they knew Cali would swim that fast and have the skins pick (and therefore choose either breast or back) I don’t think they rest Toussaint. The big risk was Energy getting the skins pick

Skoorbnagol
3 years ago

Trying to be fancy, tactics don’t work with start lists in swimming, everyone knows what everyone has.
Luke greenbank in 50free is a little bit off an insult. Anyone who knows him will know he’s been a smaller build, who has a history of 200bk/200fly and 400IM.
His 1.48.6 200bk was fantastic, feeding him to the lions going 22.5 is a joke. Why not stick Scott Mclay in he’s been 21.3 at least or any of the 4×100 boys.
Poor coaching choices just like the other ‘bizarre’ acts today.

Last edited 3 years ago by Skoorbnagol
Troyy
Reply to  Skoorbnagol
3 years ago

Scott McLay is relay only. Which of the non relay only swimmers would you make relay only to stick McLay in the 50 free to gain no points?

Also all the other 4×100 boys would’ve gained no points as well. The jackpot rule made their swims worthless so there was no point puting them in there.

Last edited 3 years ago by Troyy
Skoorbnagol
Reply to  Troyy
3 years ago

Fair point, not sure what this did for greenbank though apart from comedy value. I’m sure all others could go faster than 22.5, whether they stop getting jackpotted I don’t know.
But at least, for the interest of seriousness, put someone in who can hold there own.

Troyy
Reply to  Skoorbnagol
3 years ago

Anyone slower than 21.01 would’ve got jackpoted which is everyone Roar has.

About Braden Keith

Braden Keith

Braden Keith is the Editor-in-Chief and a co-founder/co-owner of SwimSwam.com. He first got his feet wet by building The Swimmers' Circle beginning in January 2010, and now comes to SwimSwam to use that experience and help build a new leader in the sport of swimming. Aside from his life on the InterWet, …

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