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2016 Women’s NCAA Swimming Championships: Day 2 Up/Downs

For those unfamiliar with the terminology: “Up” means a swimmer who is in the A-final, as those swimmers cannot fall lower than 8th barring a DQ. “Down” will mean B-finalists, who are between 9th-16th place.

Note: Diving is expected to be completed by 3PM Eastern Time. We will update these up/downs then.

This year, we’re introducing a new angle on our traditional up/down rankings: and that’s the idea of “burned swims.” Basically, this will keep a tally of the number of swims that a team took (including scratches and DFS) to get to that number of up/downs. This is relevant because, for example, while Cal and Stanford didn’t have any finalists in the 500 free, they also only had one swimmer entered between the two of them.

This metric will help identify where teams are expecting surges in scoring and smooth-out the curves from particularly weak or strong events from a team. We’ll focus on tracking burned swims from the top 12 teams – on Thursday, that means the top 12 teams based on psych sheet scoring .

Below, we’ve split out projections and actual results for each event, then at the end is a summary with just the core that you need to know. Scroll all the way down for that summary.

200 Free Relay

The only real big shifts here was that USC took Ohio State’s spot in the top 8, but they were seeded 9th and 8th, respectively, so that’s not a big swap.

Score After Day 1 200 FRR Projected 200 FRR
Georgia 40 Down Up
USC 34 Down Up
Cal 32 Up Up
Virginia 30 Up Up
Texas A&M 28 Down Down
Stanford 26 Up Up
Louisville 24 Up Down
Indiana 22
Arizona 18 Up Up
Texas 14 Down Down
Michigan 12 Down Down
NC State 10 Up Up
UNC 8 Down Down
Penn St 6
Kentucky 4
Florida 2
Tennessee Up Up
Ohio State Up Down
Wisconsin Down Down
Missouri Down
Boise St Down
Air Force
Purdue
Minnesota
Denver
UCLA
Arizona
Tennessee
LSU
Auburn
Virginia Tech
Alabama

500 Free

The Georgia Bulldogs made a big move up in this 500 free, adding another scorer in B-Finalist Stephanie Peters. USC’s Chelsea Chenault, on the other hand, was seeded to finish in the A-Final but wound up out of the scoring altogether. In fact, the Pac-12 Conference’s highest finisher in this prelims was Bonnie Brandon in 29th.

Score After Day 1 500 FR Projected 500 FR 500 FR burned swims
Georgia 40 2/0 2/1 4
USC 34 1/0 5
Cal 32 0
Virginia 30 1/1 1/0 4
Texas A&M 28 0/1 0/1 3
Stanford 26 1
Louisville 24 1/0 1/0 4
Indiana 22 1/0 1/1 3
Arizona 18
Texas 14 2
Michigan 12 1/1 1/1 3
NC State 10 1/1 1/1 3
UNC 8
Penn St 6
Kentucky 4
Florida 2
Ohio State 0/1 1/0
Air Force 0/1
Purdue 0/1
Minnesota 0/1
Tennessee 3
Wisconsin
Missouri
Denver
UCLA
Arizona
Boise St
Tennessee
LSU
Auburn
Virginia Tech
Alabama

200 IM

The Cal women lost one overall scorer in the 200 IM, but made up for it by putting three total into the A-Final. That’s a big lift on what was a challenging day for them overall.

Score After Day 1 200 IM Projected 200 IM 200 IM burned swims
Georgia 40 0/1 0/1 4
USC 34 0/1 1/0 2
Cal 32 1/3 3/0 5
Virginia 30 2/0 0/3 5
Texas A&M 28 2/1 2/1 6
Stanford 26 1/0 1/0 4
Louisville 24 3
Indiana 22 0/1 4
Arizona 18
Texas 14 1/0 1/0 5
Michigan 12 1/0 0/1 4
NC State 10 0/1 2
UNC 8
Penn St 6
Kentucky 4
Florida 2
Ohio State
Air Force
Purdue
Minnesota
Tennessee 0/1 5
Wisconsin
Missouri
Denver 0/1
UCLA
Arizona
Boise St
Tennessee
LSU
Auburn
Virginia Tech
Alabama

50 Free

Score After Day 1 50 free projected 50 free 50 free burned swims
Georgia 40 1/0 1/0 1
USC 34 1/0 0/2 2
Cal 32 1/1 1/0 5
Virginia 30 3
Texas A&M 28 1/0 1/0 2
Stanford 26 1/0 1/0 1
Louisville 24 1/0 1/0 1
Indiana 22 0
Arizona 18 0/1
Texas 14 4
Michigan 12 1/0 1
NC State 10 0/1 0/1 5
UNC 8
Penn St 6
Kentucky 4
Florida 2 1/0 0/1
Ohio State 1/0 1/0
Air Force
Purdue
Minnesota
Tennessee 0/2 1/1 4
Wisconsin 0/1 0/1
Missouri
Denver
UCLA 0/1 0/1
Arizona 0/2
Boise St
Tennessee
LSU
Auburn
Virginia Tech
Alabama

400 Medley Relay

The Georgia women got into the A-Final of one of their weaker relays, continuing a very good day for them. They and Texas replaced Cal and A&M, who will be at the top of the B-Final.

Score After Day 1 400 MR Projected 400 MR
Georgia 40 Down Up
USC 34 Up Up
Cal 32 Up Down
Virginia 30 Up Up
Texas A&M 28 Up Down
Stanford 26 Up Up
Louisville 24 Up Up
Indiana 22 Up Up
Arizona 18 Down Up
Texas 14 Up Down
Michigan 12 Down
NC State 10 Down Down
UNC 8 Down Down
Penn St 6
Kentucky 4
Florida 2
Ohio State Down
Air Force
Purdue
Minnesota
Tennessee Down Down
Wisconsin
Missouri Down Up
Denver
UCLA
Arizona
Boise St
Tennessee
LSU
Auburn Down
Virginia Tech Down
Alabama Down

Summary

The Cal women have 4 swimmers in the A-Final tonight, which is the most of any team. However Georgia, even with 1 fewer swim, should emerge from the day with the lead thanks to 6 total finalists. The Stanford women didn’t do much individually, but this isn’t their big day of the meet. They held serve and were able to get some key swimmers (Lia Neal) rest thanks to their relay depth.

Sorted by Team Score

Score 200 FRR 500 FR 200 IM 50 free 400 MR Total Individuals Total Relays Total Burned Swims
Georgia 40 Up 2/1 0/1 1/0 Up 3/3 Up/Up 9
USC 34 Up 1/0 0/2 Up 1/2 Up/Up 9
Cal 32 Up 3/0 1/0 Down 4/0 Up/Down 10
Virginia 30 Up 1/0 0/3 Up 1/3 Up/Up 12
Texas A&M 28 Down 0/1 2/1 1/0 Down 3/2 Down/Down 11
Stanford 26 Up 1/0 1/0 Up 2/0 Up/Up 6
Louisville 24 Down 1/0 1/0 Up 2/0 Down/Up 8
Indiana 22 1/1 Up 1/1 /Up 7
Arizona 18 Up 0/1 Up 0/1 Up/Up 0
Texas 14 Down 1/0 Down 1/0 Down/Down 11
Michigan 12 Down 1/1 0/1 1/0 2/1 Down/ 8
NC State 10 Up 1/1 0/1 Down 1/2 Up/Down 10
UNC 8 Down Down 0/0 Down/Down 0
Penn St 6 / / 0
Kentucky 4 / / 0
Florida 2 0/1 0/1 / 0
Ohio State Down 1/0 1/0 Down 2/0 Down/Down 0
Air Force 0/1 0/1 / 0
Purdue 0/1 0/1 / 0
Minnesota 0/1 0/1 / 0
Tennessee Up 0/1 1/1 Down 1/2 Up/Down 12
Wisconsin Down 0/1 0/1 Down/ 0
Missouri Down Up 0/0 Down/Up 0
Denver 0/1 0/1 / 0
UCLA 0/1 0/1 / 0
Arizona / / 0
Boise St / / 0
Tennessee / / 0
LSU / / 0
Auburn / / 0
Virginia Tech Down / /Down 0
Alabama Down / /Down 0

Sorted by Ups then Downs

Score 200 FRR 500 FR 200 IM 50 free 400 MR Total Individuals Total Relays Total Burned Swims
Cal 32 Up 3/0 1/0 Down 4/0 Up/Down 10
Georgia 40 Up 2/1 0/1 1/0 Up 3/3 Up/Up 9
Texas A&M 28 Down 0/1 2/1 1/0 Down 3/2 Down/Down 11
Michigan 12 Down 1/1 0/1 1/0 2/1 Down/ 8
Stanford 26 Up 1/0 1/0 Up 2/0 Up/Up 6
Louisville 24 Down 1/0 1/0 Up 2/0 Down/Up 8
Ohio State Down 1/0 1/0 Down 2/0 Down/Down 0
Virginia 30 Up 1/0 0/3 Up 1/3 Up/Up 12
USC 34 Up 1/0 0/2 Up 1/2 Up/Up 9
NC State 10 Up 1/1 0/1 Down 1/2 Up/Down 10
Tennessee Up 0/1 1/1 Down 1/2 Up/Down 12
Indiana 22 1/1 Up 1/1 /Up 7
Texas 14 Down 1/0 Down 1/0 Down/Down 11
Arizona 18 Up 0/1 Up 0/1 Up/Up 0
Florida 2 0/1 0/1 / 0
Air Force 0/1 0/1 / 0
Purdue 0/1 0/1 / 0
Minnesota 0/1 0/1 / 0
Wisconsin Down 0/1 0/1 Down/ 0
Denver 0/1 0/1 / 0
UCLA 0/1 0/1 / 0
UNC 8 Down Down 0/0 Down/Down 0
Missouri Down Up 0/0 Down/Up 0
Penn St 6 / / 0
Kentucky 4 / / 0
Arizona / / 0
Boise St / / 0
Tennessee / / 0
LSU / / 0
Auburn / / 0
Virginia Tech Down / /Down 0
Alabama Down / /Down 0

 

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Eric Rhodes
8 years ago

This context of “burned swims” seems a bit esoteric to me. Is it more relevant to consider the respective diving points scored, and then rationalize why those scores are included in the swimming totals, but not any synchronized swimming or water polo scores? A simple “yes” or “no” will do, eliminating the need for a toothless discussion of the merits or flaws of the current system….

IMNHO
8 years ago

My only issue with the “burned swim” stat is that it would be a better measure if it was a conference meet where every team has the exact same number of total swims for the meet. This is sometimes referred to as an “empty swim” in those cases, and I understand the point of what you all are trying to show with the burned swims… I just think in an NCAA setting it is not as useful as a conference setting.

The Grand Inquisitor
8 years ago

Stanford and UGA each put 1 in A final on 1m dive, TA&M 1 in B

jman
8 years ago

the burned swims is confusing me. why is Arizona and Ohio St. at 0 burned swims even though they have an individual swimmer in an up/down swim? Also, how does this play out through the meet? Is Tenn. at some sort of disadvantage since they ‘burned’ 12 swims?

About Braden Keith

Braden Keith

Braden Keith is the Editor-in-Chief and a co-founder/co-owner of SwimSwam.com. He first got his feet wet by building The Swimmers' Circle beginning in January 2010, and now comes to SwimSwam to use that experience and help build a new leader in the sport of swimming. Aside from his life on the InterWet, …

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