For those unfamiliar with the terminology: “Up” means a swimmer who is in the A-final, as those swimmers cannot fall lower than 8th barring a DQ. “Down” will mean B-finalists, who are between 9th-16th place.
Note: Diving is expected to be completed by 3PM Eastern Time. We will update these up/downs then.
This year, we’re introducing a new angle on our traditional up/down rankings: and that’s the idea of “burned swims.” Basically, this will keep a tally of the number of swims that a team took (including scratches and DFS) to get to that number of up/downs. This is relevant because, for example, while Cal and Stanford didn’t have any finalists in the 500 free, they also only had one swimmer entered between the two of them.
This metric will help identify where teams are expecting surges in scoring and smooth-out the curves from particularly weak or strong events from a team. We’ll focus on tracking burned swims from the top 12 teams – on Thursday, that means the top 12 teams based on psych sheet scoring .
Below, we’ve split out projections and actual results for each event, then at the end is a summary with just the core that you need to know. Scroll all the way down for that summary.
200 Free Relay
The only real big shifts here was that USC took Ohio State’s spot in the top 8, but they were seeded 9th and 8th, respectively, so that’s not a big swap.
Score After Day 1 | 200 FRR Projected | 200 FRR | |
Georgia | 40 | Down | Up |
USC | 34 | Down | Up |
Cal | 32 | Up | Up |
Virginia | 30 | Up | Up |
Texas A&M | 28 | Down | Down |
Stanford | 26 | Up | Up |
Louisville | 24 | Up | Down |
Indiana | 22 | ||
Arizona | 18 | Up | Up |
Texas | 14 | Down | Down |
Michigan | 12 | Down | Down |
NC State | 10 | Up | Up |
UNC | 8 | Down | Down |
Penn St | 6 | ||
Kentucky | 4 | ||
Florida | 2 | ||
Tennessee | Up | Up | |
Ohio State | Up | Down | |
Wisconsin | Down | Down | |
Missouri | Down | ||
Boise St | Down | ||
Air Force | |||
Purdue | |||
Minnesota | |||
Denver | |||
UCLA | |||
Arizona | |||
Tennessee | |||
LSU | |||
Auburn | |||
Virginia Tech | |||
Alabama |
500 Free
The Georgia Bulldogs made a big move up in this 500 free, adding another scorer in B-Finalist Stephanie Peters. USC’s Chelsea Chenault, on the other hand, was seeded to finish in the A-Final but wound up out of the scoring altogether. In fact, the Pac-12 Conference’s highest finisher in this prelims was Bonnie Brandon in 29th.
Score After Day 1 | 500 FR Projected | 500 FR | 500 FR burned swims | |
Georgia | 40 | 2/0 | 2/1 | 4 |
USC | 34 | 1/0 | 5 | |
Cal | 32 | 0 | ||
Virginia | 30 | 1/1 | 1/0 | 4 |
Texas A&M | 28 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 3 |
Stanford | 26 | 1 | ||
Louisville | 24 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 4 |
Indiana | 22 | 1/0 | 1/1 | 3 |
Arizona | 18 | |||
Texas | 14 | 2 | ||
Michigan | 12 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 3 |
NC State | 10 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 3 |
UNC | 8 | |||
Penn St | 6 | |||
Kentucky | 4 | |||
Florida | 2 | |||
Ohio State | 0/1 | 1/0 | ||
Air Force | 0/1 | |||
Purdue | 0/1 | |||
Minnesota | 0/1 | |||
Tennessee | 3 | |||
Wisconsin | ||||
Missouri | ||||
Denver | ||||
UCLA | ||||
Arizona | ||||
Boise St | ||||
Tennessee | ||||
LSU | ||||
Auburn | ||||
Virginia Tech | ||||
Alabama |
200 IM
The Cal women lost one overall scorer in the 200 IM, but made up for it by putting three total into the A-Final. That’s a big lift on what was a challenging day for them overall.
Score After Day 1 | 200 IM Projected | 200 IM | 200 IM burned swims | |
Georgia | 40 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 4 |
USC | 34 | 0/1 | 1/0 | 2 |
Cal | 32 | 1/3 | 3/0 | 5 |
Virginia | 30 | 2/0 | 0/3 | 5 |
Texas A&M | 28 | 2/1 | 2/1 | 6 |
Stanford | 26 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 4 |
Louisville | 24 | 3 | ||
Indiana | 22 | 0/1 | 4 | |
Arizona | 18 | |||
Texas | 14 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 5 |
Michigan | 12 | 1/0 | 0/1 | 4 |
NC State | 10 | 0/1 | 2 | |
UNC | 8 | |||
Penn St | 6 | |||
Kentucky | 4 | |||
Florida | 2 | |||
Ohio State | ||||
Air Force | ||||
Purdue | ||||
Minnesota | ||||
Tennessee | 0/1 | 5 | ||
Wisconsin | ||||
Missouri | ||||
Denver | 0/1 | |||
UCLA | ||||
Arizona | ||||
Boise St | ||||
Tennessee | ||||
LSU | ||||
Auburn | ||||
Virginia Tech | ||||
Alabama |
50 Free
Score After Day 1 | 50 free projected | 50 free | 50 free burned swims | |
Georgia | 40 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 1 |
USC | 34 | 1/0 | 0/2 | 2 |
Cal | 32 | 1/1 | 1/0 | 5 |
Virginia | 30 | 3 | ||
Texas A&M | 28 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 2 |
Stanford | 26 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 1 |
Louisville | 24 | 1/0 | 1/0 | 1 |
Indiana | 22 | 0 | ||
Arizona | 18 | 0/1 | ||
Texas | 14 | 4 | ||
Michigan | 12 | 1/0 | 1 | |
NC State | 10 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 5 |
UNC | 8 | |||
Penn St | 6 | |||
Kentucky | 4 | |||
Florida | 2 | 1/0 | 0/1 | |
Ohio State | 1/0 | 1/0 | ||
Air Force | ||||
Purdue | ||||
Minnesota | ||||
Tennessee | 0/2 | 1/1 | 4 | |
Wisconsin | 0/1 | 0/1 | ||
Missouri | ||||
Denver | ||||
UCLA | 0/1 | 0/1 | ||
Arizona | 0/2 | |||
Boise St | ||||
Tennessee | ||||
LSU | ||||
Auburn | ||||
Virginia Tech | ||||
Alabama |
400 Medley Relay
The Georgia women got into the A-Final of one of their weaker relays, continuing a very good day for them. They and Texas replaced Cal and A&M, who will be at the top of the B-Final.
Score After Day 1 | 400 MR Projected | 400 MR | |
Georgia | 40 | Down | Up |
USC | 34 | Up | Up |
Cal | 32 | Up | Down |
Virginia | 30 | Up | Up |
Texas A&M | 28 | Up | Down |
Stanford | 26 | Up | Up |
Louisville | 24 | Up | Up |
Indiana | 22 | Up | Up |
Arizona | 18 | Down | Up |
Texas | 14 | Up | Down |
Michigan | 12 | Down | |
NC State | 10 | Down | Down |
UNC | 8 | Down | Down |
Penn St | 6 | ||
Kentucky | 4 | ||
Florida | 2 | ||
Ohio State | Down | ||
Air Force | |||
Purdue | |||
Minnesota | |||
Tennessee | Down | Down | |
Wisconsin | |||
Missouri | Down | Up | |
Denver | |||
UCLA | |||
Arizona | |||
Boise St | |||
Tennessee | |||
LSU | |||
Auburn | Down | ||
Virginia Tech | Down | ||
Alabama | Down |
Summary
The Cal women have 4 swimmers in the A-Final tonight, which is the most of any team. However Georgia, even with 1 fewer swim, should emerge from the day with the lead thanks to 6 total finalists. The Stanford women didn’t do much individually, but this isn’t their big day of the meet. They held serve and were able to get some key swimmers (Lia Neal) rest thanks to their relay depth.
Sorted by Team Score
Score | 200 FRR | 500 FR | 200 IM | 50 free | 400 MR | Total Individuals | Total Relays | Total Burned Swims | |
Georgia | 40 | Up | 2/1 | 0/1 | 1/0 | Up | 3/3 | Up/Up | 9 |
USC | 34 | Up | 1/0 | 0/2 | Up | 1/2 | Up/Up | 9 | |
Cal | 32 | Up | 3/0 | 1/0 | Down | 4/0 | Up/Down | 10 | |
Virginia | 30 | Up | 1/0 | 0/3 | Up | 1/3 | Up/Up | 12 | |
Texas A&M | 28 | Down | 0/1 | 2/1 | 1/0 | Down | 3/2 | Down/Down | 11 |
Stanford | 26 | Up | 1/0 | 1/0 | Up | 2/0 | Up/Up | 6 | |
Louisville | 24 | Down | 1/0 | 1/0 | Up | 2/0 | Down/Up | 8 | |
Indiana | 22 | 1/1 | Up | 1/1 | /Up | 7 | |||
Arizona | 18 | Up | 0/1 | Up | 0/1 | Up/Up | 0 | ||
Texas | 14 | Down | 1/0 | Down | 1/0 | Down/Down | 11 | ||
Michigan | 12 | Down | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/0 | 2/1 | Down/ | 8 | |
NC State | 10 | Up | 1/1 | 0/1 | Down | 1/2 | Up/Down | 10 | |
UNC | 8 | Down | Down | 0/0 | Down/Down | 0 | |||
Penn St | 6 | / | / | 0 | |||||
Kentucky | 4 | / | / | 0 | |||||
Florida | 2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | ||||
Ohio State | Down | 1/0 | 1/0 | Down | 2/0 | Down/Down | 0 | ||
Air Force | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
Purdue | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
Minnesota | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
Tennessee | Up | 0/1 | 1/1 | Down | 1/2 | Up/Down | 12 | ||
Wisconsin | Down | 0/1 | 0/1 | Down/ | 0 | ||||
Missouri | Down | Up | 0/0 | Down/Up | 0 | ||||
Denver | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
UCLA | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
Arizona | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Boise St | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Tennessee | / | / | 0 | ||||||
LSU | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Auburn | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Virginia Tech | Down | / | /Down | 0 | |||||
Alabama | Down | / | /Down | 0 |
Sorted by Ups then Downs
Score | 200 FRR | 500 FR | 200 IM | 50 free | 400 MR | Total Individuals | Total Relays | Total Burned Swims | |
Cal | 32 | Up | 3/0 | 1/0 | Down | 4/0 | Up/Down | 10 | |
Georgia | 40 | Up | 2/1 | 0/1 | 1/0 | Up | 3/3 | Up/Up | 9 |
Texas A&M | 28 | Down | 0/1 | 2/1 | 1/0 | Down | 3/2 | Down/Down | 11 |
Michigan | 12 | Down | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/0 | 2/1 | Down/ | 8 | |
Stanford | 26 | Up | 1/0 | 1/0 | Up | 2/0 | Up/Up | 6 | |
Louisville | 24 | Down | 1/0 | 1/0 | Up | 2/0 | Down/Up | 8 | |
Ohio State | Down | 1/0 | 1/0 | Down | 2/0 | Down/Down | 0 | ||
Virginia | 30 | Up | 1/0 | 0/3 | Up | 1/3 | Up/Up | 12 | |
USC | 34 | Up | 1/0 | 0/2 | Up | 1/2 | Up/Up | 9 | |
NC State | 10 | Up | 1/1 | 0/1 | Down | 1/2 | Up/Down | 10 | |
Tennessee | Up | 0/1 | 1/1 | Down | 1/2 | Up/Down | 12 | ||
Indiana | 22 | 1/1 | Up | 1/1 | /Up | 7 | |||
Texas | 14 | Down | 1/0 | Down | 1/0 | Down/Down | 11 | ||
Arizona | 18 | Up | 0/1 | Up | 0/1 | Up/Up | 0 | ||
Florida | 2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | ||||
Air Force | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
Purdue | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
Minnesota | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
Wisconsin | Down | 0/1 | 0/1 | Down/ | 0 | ||||
Denver | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
UCLA | 0/1 | 0/1 | / | 0 | |||||
UNC | 8 | Down | Down | 0/0 | Down/Down | 0 | |||
Missouri | Down | Up | 0/0 | Down/Up | 0 | ||||
Penn St | 6 | / | / | 0 | |||||
Kentucky | 4 | / | / | 0 | |||||
Arizona | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Boise St | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Tennessee | / | / | 0 | ||||||
LSU | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Auburn | / | / | 0 | ||||||
Virginia Tech | Down | / | /Down | 0 | |||||
Alabama | Down | / | /Down | 0 |
This context of “burned swims” seems a bit esoteric to me. Is it more relevant to consider the respective diving points scored, and then rationalize why those scores are included in the swimming totals, but not any synchronized swimming or water polo scores? A simple “yes” or “no” will do, eliminating the need for a toothless discussion of the merits or flaws of the current system….
My only issue with the “burned swim” stat is that it would be a better measure if it was a conference meet where every team has the exact same number of total swims for the meet. This is sometimes referred to as an “empty swim” in those cases, and I understand the point of what you all are trying to show with the burned swims… I just think in an NCAA setting it is not as useful as a conference setting.
IMNHO – I agree, and it’s something we’re playing with a little. I still think it’s valuable for the top 3, Georgia, Cal and Stanford, but we’ll continue to feel it out.
Stanford and UGA each put 1 in A final on 1m dive, TA&M 1 in B
the burned swims is confusing me. why is Arizona and Ohio St. at 0 burned swims even though they have an individual swimmer in an up/down swim? Also, how does this play out through the meet? Is Tenn. at some sort of disadvantage since they ‘burned’ 12 swims?
jman – read the intro. We only ran burned swims on the top 12 teams.