The Texas Longhorns cemented themselves in first place after the first day of competition with 171 points. With two relay victories and an individual title from Clark Smith in the 500 freestyle, they took advantage of day 1. The Longhorn’s outscored their seeds by 70 points today.
The biggest moves up were made by Texas with 70 added points (48 swim and 22 dive), Arizona 34.5 (23.5 swim, 11 dive), Missouri 33 (all swim), Stanford 30 (14 swim and 16 dive), Cal 26 (all swimming). Miami, Purdue, and Indiana also picked up a bunch of diving points.
Take a look at Price Fishback’s scoring analysis chart below:
|
Rank Based on Final Prediction |
TEAM |
Score After Thursday |
Friday Swim Pysch Score |
Saturday Swim Psych Score |
Predicted Final Based on Thu Actual + Psych Fri&Sat |
Predicted Final Based on Psych |
Difference Thursday Actual minus Psych |
Diving Thursday |
|
1 |
tx |
171 |
129 |
101 |
401 |
331 |
70 |
22 |
|
2 |
fl |
108 |
136 |
83 |
327 |
320 |
7 |
|
|
3 |
mi |
105 |
130 |
80 |
315 |
310 |
5 |
|
|
4 |
socal |
77 |
149 |
85 |
311 |
332 |
-21 |
6 |
|
5 |
cal |
119 |
106 |
61 |
286 |
260 |
26 |
|
|
6 |
ga |
61.5 |
111 |
84 |
256.5 |
262 |
-5.5 |
|
|
7 |
ncst |
53.5 |
81 |
106 |
240.5 |
291 |
-50.5 |
|
|
8 |
au |
67 |
89 |
72 |
228 |
229 |
-1 |
|
|
9 |
al |
79 |
45 |
66 |
190 |
210 |
-20 |
|
|
10 |
st |
75 |
58 |
44 |
177 |
147 |
30 |
16 |
|
11 |
tn |
12 |
67 |
41 |
120 |
126 |
-6 |
7 |
|
12 |
mo |
49 |
23 |
33 |
105 |
72 |
33 |
|
|
13 |
in |
29 |
39 |
26 |
94 |
73 |
21 |
29 |
|
14 |
az |
54.5 |
13 |
14 |
81.5 |
47 |
34.5 |
11 |
|
15 |
ohst |
17 |
41 |
7 |
65 |
54 |
11 |
|
|
16 |
lou |
9 |
39 |
14 |
62 |
75 |
-13 |
|
|
17 |
wi |
10 |
22 |
19 |
51 |
54 |
-3 |
|
|
18 |
nc |
18.5 |
6 |
13 |
37.5 |
45 |
-7.5 |
5 |
|
19 |
gt |
14 |
0 |
21 |
35 |
32 |
3 |
|
|
20 |
mifl |
29 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
29 |
29 |
|
21 |
socar |
2 |
4 |
23 |
29 |
30 |
-1 |
2 |
|
22 |
pu |
20 |
0 |
6 |
26 |
6 |
20 |
20 |
|
23 |
ut |
12.5 |
2 |
9 |
23.5 |
18 |
5.5 |
3 |
|
24 |
duke |
0 |
22 |
0 |
22 |
22 |
0 |
|
|
25 |
nw |
2 |
0 |
20 |
22 |
26 |
-4 |
|
|
26 |
psu |
0 |
16 |
6 |
22 |
26 |
-4 |
|
|
27 |
byu |
0 |
13 |
7 |
20 |
20 |
0 |
|
|
28 |
fsu |
1 |
3 |
14 |
18 |
17 |
1 |
1 |
|
29 |
pr |
0 |
12 |
2 |
14 |
33 |
-19 |
|
|
30 |
penn |
0 |
0 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
0 |
|
|
31 |
unlv |
12 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
27 |
-15 |
|
|
32 |
io |
0 |
11 |
0 |
11 |
11 |
0 |
|
|
33 |
va |
0 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
10 |
0 |
|
|
34 |
vt |
2 |
8 |
0 |
10 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
35 |
col |
0 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
9 |
0 |
|
|
36 |
mn |
4 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
|
37 |
wky |
0 |
6 |
0 |
6 |
6 |
0 |
|
|
38 |
yale |
0 |
0 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
0 |
|
|
39 |
tam |
4.5 |
0 |
0 |
4.5 |
3 |
1.5 |
|
|
40 |
nd |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
The Texas boys are hungry. Watching Cal get presented the trophy in their home pool got to them. They were on a mission from day 1. Happy to see them swim fast
One other comment, I may be wrong about some of my picks obviously, but in one of the NCAA previews (Swimming World) they picked Cal to win specifically because they didn’t feel Texas’ relays were up to par. Texas are 2 for 2 (albeit with a DQ to help them out) and I can at least see them winning both today, whether they win or not they are definitely in the mix. One of the great things about Eddie is he gets his guys ready for NCAAs (same can be said of Durden). They tend to greatly outperform their pre-meet expectations even if an individual or two are off (Conger last year for example.) Always a fan of that.
I will also play:
Texas 1:22.3
Licon 335.5 (Strange how we have dropped Kalisz so quickly but his 200 IM was at his SEC speed, which would mean a 336-338. Given how his 200 IM looked, just think Licon will do something special.)
Conger 44.2
Quintero 131.6
Cordes 50.4 (not as fast as last year but he will still show some flash)
Murphy 44.0 (AR)
Texas (if they swim Conger, not sure what his off relay will be) 609.2
I’ll play…
California 1:21.9
Licon 3:36
Schooling 44.3
Quintero 1:31.7
Katis 50.6
Murphy 44.2
Texas 6:09
I like your Katis/Schooling picks too.
Katis will be fast he out split him on the relay but SC breast it’s hard to bet against Cordes even on a bad day.
Tomorrow predictions
Cal 1:21.8
Licon 3:35
Conger 44.2
Smith 1:31.9
Cordes 50.6
Murphy 44.3
Texas 6:11.9
Sooo Texas had a pretty good day.
Just based off this, you’d assume they’re almost a lock to win now, no?